How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Vibrant Plume is cheapest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET) and dearest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 135% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

15:00 to 18:00 UTC

16:00 to 19:00 CET · index 0.814 · typical 19s 9c

Best hours to sell

22:00 to 01:00 UTC

23:00 to 02:00 CET · index 1.424 · typical 43s 83c

Spread after the 5% cut

+135%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Vibrant Plumeby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	38s 19c	32s 1c	191	1.167	4
01:00	02:00	36s 96c	31s 75c	206	1.098	4
02:00	03:00	9s 88c	8s 90c	283	0.935	3
03:00	04:00	8s 52c	8s 35c	145	0.931	2
04:00	05:00	40s 97c	39s 75c	125	1.119	3
05:00	06:00	54s 39c	49s 35c	68	1.072	2
06:00	07:00	37s 32c	35s 8c	112	1.050	3
07:00	08:00	30s	29s 17c	154	1.006	4
08:00	09:00	29s 32c	20s 36c	157	0.995	4
09:00	10:00	29s 69c	17s 23c	143	1.048	4
10:00	11:00	20s 70c	17s 23c	187	0.873	4
11:00	12:00	19s 53c	17s 67c	155	0.868	4
12:00	13:00	18s 8c	12s 68c	184	0.887	4
13:00	14:00	17s 44c	12s 41c	239	0.885	4
14:00	15:00	13s 44c	12s 16c	261	0.814	4
15:00	16:00	8s 35c	8s 17c	303	0.876	2
16:00	17:00	11s 98c	10s 13c	234	0.752	3
17:00	18:00	36s 93c	34s 87c	203	0.814	4
18:00	19:00	43s 19c	43s 18c	233	0.933	3
19:00	20:00	43s 19c	43s 17c	244	0.935	3
20:00	21:00	36s 18c	34s 83c	197	0.879	4
21:00	22:00	48s 45c	48s 42c	82	0.959	3
22:00	23:00	51s 12c	43s 18c	127	1.626	3
23:00	00:00	42s 18c	36s 48c	155	1.479	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/5117 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.997	1.108	4
01:00	02:00	0.961	1.106	4
02:00	03:00	0.955	1.129	3
03:00	04:00	1.028	0.839	3
04:00	05:00	1.126	0.857	4
05:00	06:00	1.021	0.831	2
06:00	07:00	1.036	0.846	3
07:00	08:00	1.032	0.771	4
08:00	09:00	1.002	0.862	5
09:00	10:00	1.037	0.837	5
10:00	11:00	1.013	0.942	5
11:00	12:00	1.014	1.009	5
12:00	13:00	1.005	1.083	5
13:00	14:00	0.996	1.188	5
14:00	15:00	0.974	1.034	4
15:00	16:00	0.950	0.973	4
16:00	17:00	1.013	1.046	4
17:00	18:00	0.948	1.088	4
18:00	19:00	0.924	1.129	3
19:00	20:00	0.918	1.146	3
20:00	21:00	1.013	1.046	4
21:00	22:00	1.003	0.948	3
22:00	23:00	1.024	1.116	3
23:00	00:00	1.008	1.068	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Vibrant Plume?: On PvP Horde EU, Vibrant Plume is cheapest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET) and dearest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 135% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.