How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On Normal Horde EU, Hickory Pipe is cheapest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (01:00 to 04:00 CET) and dearest from 08:00 to 11:00 UTC (09:00 to 12:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 81% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: Normal Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/normal/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

00:00 to 03:00 UTC

01:00 to 04:00 CET · index 0.852 · typical 12s 33c

Best hours to sell

08:00 to 11:00 UTC

09:00 to 12:00 CET · index 1.145 · typical 21s 2c

Spread after the 5% cut

+81%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Hickory Pipeby hour · Normal Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	7s	5s 60c	23	0.801	1
01:00	02:00	24s	22s	8	0.975	1
02:00	03:00	6s	5s 50c	17	0.779	1
03:00	04:00	15s	14s 50c	11	0.980	2
04:00	05:00	6s	5s 50c	19	0.877	1
05:00	06:00	6s	5s 50c	19	0.929	1
06:00	07:00	11s 45c	11s 15c	13	1.087	3
07:00	08:00	27s 82c	27s 75c	9	1.041	2
08:00	09:00	21s 3c	20s 86c	8	1.130	4
09:00	10:00	21s 13c	20s 83c	9	1.167	4
10:00	11:00	20s 89c	20s 76c	10	1.137	4
11:00	12:00	5s	4s 72c	19	1.005	2
12:00	13:00	25s 19c	17s 9c	13	1.188	3
13:00	14:00	24s 19c	16s 76c	14	1.147	3
14:00	15:00	10s 80c	8s 65c	22	1.086	2
15:00	16:00	17s 43c	12s 67c	18	0.999	3
16:00	17:00	10s 15c	6s 51c	27	1.097	2
17:00	18:00	9s 81c	6s 1c	25	1.089	2
18:00	19:00	8s 90c	6s	28	1.033	2
19:00	20:00	7s 56c	6s	21	0.965	2
20:00	21:00	6s 51c	5s 25c	27	0.857	2
21:00	22:00	6s	5s 25c	29	0.836	2
22:00	23:00	6s 25c	5s 25c	28	0.896	2
23:00	00:00	12s 33c	11s 50c	20	0.898	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.normal.horde.eu/5432 on the API.

The whole market by hour · Normal Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.981	1.238	1
01:00	02:00	1.008	1.020	2
02:00	03:00	1.011	1.131	2
03:00	04:00	1.096	0.899	3
04:00	05:00	1.021	0.889	3
05:00	06:00	1.009	0.861	2
06:00	07:00	1.047	0.831	5
07:00	08:00	0.996	0.785	2
08:00	09:00	1.021	0.781	5
09:00	10:00	1.035	0.793	5
10:00	11:00	1.015	0.903	5
11:00	12:00	0.996	1.075	2
12:00	13:00	0.975	0.935	4
13:00	14:00	1.074	0.946	4
14:00	15:00	0.967	1.019	3
15:00	16:00	0.960	1.096	4
16:00	17:00	1.057	0.933	3
17:00	18:00	0.976	0.927	3
18:00	19:00	0.944	1.137	2
19:00	20:00	0.989	1.054	3
20:00	21:00	0.955	1.169	3
21:00	22:00	0.960	1.174	3
22:00	23:00	0.944	1.198	3
23:00	00:00	0.964	1.206	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Hickory Pipe?: On Normal Horde EU, Hickory Pipe is cheapest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (01:00 to 04:00 CET) and dearest from 08:00 to 11:00 UTC (09:00 to 12:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 81% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.