How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Large Brown Sack is cheapest from 10:00 to 13:00 UTC (11:00 to 14:00 CET) and dearest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (01:00 to 04:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 13% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

10:00 to 13:00 UTC

11:00 to 14:00 CET · index 0.945 · typical 1g 16s 67c

Best hours to sell

00:00 to 03:00 UTC

01:00 to 04:00 CET · index 1.063 · typical 1g 32s 8c

Spread after the 5% cut

+13%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Large Brown Sackby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	1g 44s 92c	1g 33s 75c	30	1.077	4
01:00	02:00	1g 30s	1g 11s 67c	43	1.086	3
02:00	03:00	1g 21s 33c	1g 13s	44	1.027	3
03:00	04:00	1g 20s 33c	1g 11s 67c	32	1.031	3
04:00	05:00	1g 5s	82s 50c	50	1.037	2
05:00	06:00	1g 50s	1g 36s	20	1.053	1
06:00	07:00	1g 51s 67c	1g 41s 67c	15	1.068	3
07:00	08:00	1g 35s 75c	1g 22s	22	1.062	4
08:00	09:00	1g 25s 96c	96s 75c	24	0.998	4
09:00	10:00	1g 21s 86c	1g 9s 75c	22	0.975	4
10:00	11:00	1g 19s 29c	1g 14s 50c	24	0.962	4
11:00	12:00	1g 16s 8c	1g 8s 50c	30	0.939	4
12:00	13:00	1g 14s 63c	1g 9s 75c	35	0.934	4
13:00	14:00	1g 29s 33c	1g 17s 67c	25	0.965	3
14:00	15:00	1g 28s	1g 14s	26	0.970	3
15:00	16:00	1g 35s 83c	1g 3s 33c	29	0.983	3
16:00	17:00	1g 39s 71c	1g 25s	24	0.971	4
17:00	18:00	1g 35s 50c	1g 21s 33c	23	0.991	3
18:00	19:00	1g 34s	1g 26s 67c	22	0.980	3
19:00	20:00	1g 31s 62c	1g 10s	24	0.968	3
20:00	21:00	1g 39s 93c	1g 35s 75c	21	0.992	4
21:00	22:00	1g 40s 61c	1g 32s 50c	35	1.016	2
22:00	23:00	1g 25s 22c	1g 11s 33c	36	0.948	3
23:00	00:00	1g 32s 29c	99s 50c	29	0.967	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/5576 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.004	1.122	4
01:00	02:00	0.965	1.134	4
02:00	03:00	0.953	1.163	3
03:00	04:00	1.014	0.848	3
04:00	05:00	1.114	0.892	4
05:00	06:00	1.026	0.829	2
06:00	07:00	1.033	0.854	3
07:00	08:00	1.031	0.809	4
08:00	09:00	1.002	0.897	5
09:00	10:00	1.036	0.872	5
10:00	11:00	1.008	0.990	5
11:00	12:00	1.003	1.087	5
12:00	13:00	1.016	0.933	4
13:00	14:00	0.999	0.998	4
14:00	15:00	0.976	1.036	4
15:00	16:00	0.955	0.965	4
16:00	17:00	1.020	1.051	4
17:00	18:00	0.948	1.082	4
18:00	19:00	0.933	1.118	3
19:00	20:00	0.921	1.135	3
20:00	21:00	1.016	1.044	4
21:00	22:00	0.987	0.957	3
22:00	23:00	1.027	1.116	3
23:00	00:00	1.013	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Large Brown Sack?: On PvP Horde EU, Large Brown Sack is cheapest from 10:00 to 13:00 UTC (11:00 to 14:00 CET) and dearest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (01:00 to 04:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 13% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.