How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On Normal Alliance US, Loch Croc Hide Vest is cheapest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (17:00 to 20:00 Pacific) and dearest from 16:00 to 19:00 UTC (08:00 to 11:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 48% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: Normal Alliance US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/normal/alliance/us

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

01:00 to 04:00 UTC

17:00 to 20:00 Pacific · index 0.833 · typical 33s 94c

Best hours to sell

16:00 to 19:00 UTC

08:00 to 11:00 Pacific · index 1.125 · typical 52s 56c

Spread after the 5% cut

+48%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Loch Croc Hide Vestby hour · Normal Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	16:00	36s 17c	34s 67c	5	0.899	3
01:00	17:00	37s	37s	9	0.866	2
02:00	18:00	33s 50c	33s	6	0.840	3
03:00	19:00	31s 33c	31s 33c	5	0.791	3
04:00	20:00	36s	35s 67c	5	0.925	3
05:00	21:00	36s	35s 33c	4	0.938	3
06:00	22:00	34s 83c	33s 33c	5	0.915	3
07:00	23:00	36s 50c	36s 50c	4	0.927	2
08:00	00:00	33s	33s	5	0.976	1
09:00	01:00	36s 50c	36s	4	0.958	2
10:00	02:00	48s	47s 75c	4	1.024	4
11:00	03:00	52s 67c	52s 67c	4	1.042	3
12:00	04:00	85s	85s	4	1.177	1
13:00	05:00	32s 50c	30s	6	0.965	1
14:00	06:00	48s 25c	42s 75c	6	1.091	4
15:00	07:00	51s	44s	5	1.103	3
16:00	08:00	60s	27s 50c	6	1.162	2
17:00	09:00	48s	31s 50c	5	1.105	4
18:00	10:00	49s 67c	36s	6	1.106	3
19:00	11:00	48s 33c	46s 33c	4	1.141	3
20:00	12:00	45s 33c	40s 33c	4	1.043	3
21:00	13:00	52s	39s 50c	6	1.097	2
22:00	14:00	41s 33c	37s 67c	5	0.965	3
23:00	15:00	42s	37s	6	0.942	2

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.normal.alliance.us/6197 on the API.

The whole market by hour · Normal Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	16:00	0.993	1.015	4
01:00	17:00	1.000	1.054	4
02:00	18:00	0.982	1.081	5
03:00	19:00	0.982	1.103	4
04:00	20:00	0.981	1.139	4
05:00	21:00	0.985	1.161	4
06:00	22:00	1.013	1.201	5
07:00	23:00	0.954	0.988	3
08:00	00:00	0.974	1.120	1
09:00	01:00	0.967	1.136	2
10:00	02:00	1.016	1.238	4
11:00	03:00	0.982	1.044	3
12:00	04:00	1.103	0.797	1
13:00	05:00	0.991	0.961	1
14:00	06:00	1.013	0.910	4
15:00	07:00	1.010	0.882	3
16:00	08:00	1.057	0.820	2
17:00	09:00	0.996	0.851	4
18:00	10:00	0.987	0.855	4
19:00	11:00	1.018	0.885	3
20:00	12:00	0.975	0.949	3
21:00	13:00	0.982	0.961	3
22:00	14:00	1.026	0.897	4
23:00	15:00	1.012	0.953	2

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Loch Croc Hide Vest?: On Normal Alliance US, Loch Croc Hide Vest is cheapest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (17:00 to 20:00 Pacific) and dearest from 16:00 to 19:00 UTC (08:00 to 11:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 48% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning Normal Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.