How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Recipe: Loch Frenzy Delight is cheapest from 19:00 to 22:00 UTC (20:00 to 23:00 CET) and dearest from 09:00 to 12:00 UTC (10:00 to 13:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 635% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

19:00 to 22:00 UTC

20:00 to 23:00 CET · index 0.425 · typical 14s 61c

Best hours to sell

09:00 to 12:00 UTC

10:00 to 13:00 CET · index 1.836 · typical 68s 33c

Spread after the 5% cut

+635%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 0 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Recipe: Loch Frenzy Delightby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
01:00	02:00	54s 90c	50s	20	1.030	2
02:00	03:00	53s 50c	40s	19	1.072	2
03:00	04:00	53s 75c	40s	18	1.081	2
04:00	05:00	53s 50c	39s	32	1.495	2
05:00	06:00	10s	10s	2	0.221	1
06:00	07:00	39s	36s	22	1.143	3
07:00	08:00	37s 25c	17s	21	1.111	3
08:00	09:00	50s	16s 50c	31	1.569	2
09:00	10:00	82s 67c	61s	28	2.208	3
10:00	11:00	52s 75c	47s 75c	20	1.475	4
11:00	12:00	69s 56c	64s 67c	16	1.827	3
12:00	13:00	25s	11s	53	0.597	1
13:00	14:00	56s	16s 67c	24	1.536	3
14:00	15:00	9s 67c	7s 67c	32	0.399	3
15:00	16:00	11s	7s 67c	30	0.612	3
16:00	17:00	21s 44c	10s 75c	22	1.029	4
17:00	18:00	30s 33c	9s	30	0.946	3
18:00	19:00	10s 50c	9s 50c	45	0.270	2
19:00	20:00	23s 84c	9s	29	0.823	3
20:00	21:00	10s	8s 50c	43	0.308	2
21:00	22:00	10s	9s	10	0.144	1
22:00	23:00	40s 67c	39s 67c	30	0.879	3
23:00	00:00	54s 34c	19s	41	1.227	2

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/6329 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.996	1.109	1
01:00	02:00	1.008	1.050	4
02:00	03:00	1.044	1.010	3
03:00	04:00	1.032	0.998	2
04:00	05:00	1.037	1.005	3
05:00	06:00	1.065	0.787	2
06:00	07:00	1.026	0.845	5
07:00	08:00	1.040	0.797	5
08:00	09:00	1.022	0.854	5
09:00	10:00	1.015	0.906	5
10:00	11:00	1.044	0.920	5
11:00	12:00	0.998	0.902	4
12:00	13:00	0.985	0.879	2
13:00	14:00	0.991	1.004	3
14:00	15:00	0.989	1.018	3
15:00	16:00	0.984	1.066	3
16:00	17:00	0.968	1.087	4
17:00	18:00	0.959	1.104	3
18:00	19:00	0.959	1.143	2
19:00	20:00	0.995	1.027	3
20:00	21:00	0.950	1.170	2
21:00	22:00	0.944	1.085	1
22:00	23:00	0.949	1.148	3
23:00	00:00	1.000	1.086	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Recipe: Loch Frenzy Delight?: On PvP Alliance EU, Recipe: Loch Frenzy Delight is cheapest from 19:00 to 22:00 UTC (20:00 to 23:00 CET) and dearest from 09:00 to 12:00 UTC (10:00 to 13:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 635% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.