How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Recipe: Bristle Whisker Catfish is cheapest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (01:00 to 04:00 CET) and dearest from 13:00 to 16:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 52% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

00:00 to 03:00 UTC

01:00 to 04:00 CET · index 0.880 · typical 16s 17c

Best hours to sell

13:00 to 16:00 UTC

14:00 to 17:00 CET · index 1.180 · typical 22s 12c

Spread after the 5% cut

+52%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Recipe: Bristle Whisker Catfishby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	17s	14s 50c	84	0.908	4
01:00	02:00	16s 50c	15s	73	0.876	4
02:00	03:00	15s	12s	84	0.855	3
03:00	04:00	18s 83c	17s	31	1.068	3
04:00	05:00	17s 83c	17s	51	0.968	3
05:00	06:00	20s	20s	3	0.958	1
06:00	07:00	20s	17s 50c	22	1.045	2
07:00	08:00	19s 33c	18s 25c	26	1.049	4
08:00	09:00	19s 4c	17s 75c	34	1.035	4
09:00	10:00	18s 55c	16s 75c	37	1.011	4
10:00	11:00	17s 25c	15s 50c	46	0.942	4
11:00	12:00	15s 9c	13s 60c	31	0.823	5
12:00	13:00	18s 17c	15s 50c	39	1.004	4
13:00	14:00	22s 61c	17s 33c	45	1.228	3
14:00	15:00	21s 33c	15s 50c	39	1.127	4
15:00	16:00	22s 42c	21s	25	1.187	4
16:00	17:00	21s 1c	16s 75c	51	1.112	4
17:00	18:00	18s 67c	16s 75c	82	0.988	4
18:00	19:00	18s 40c	17s 67c	107	0.983	3
19:00	20:00	18s 12c	16s 67c	114	0.964	3
20:00	21:00	18s 22c	14s 50c	100	0.969	4
21:00	22:00	18s 70c	18s	64	0.984	3
22:00	23:00	18s 33c	16s 67c	73	0.979	3
23:00	00:00	17s 42c	15s 75c	88	0.938	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/6330 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.005	1.111	4
01:00	02:00	0.965	1.119	4
02:00	03:00	0.949	1.148	3
03:00	04:00	1.010	0.846	3
04:00	05:00	1.116	0.870	4
05:00	06:00	1.025	0.832	2
06:00	07:00	1.030	0.857	3
07:00	08:00	1.025	0.789	4
08:00	09:00	0.996	0.878	5
09:00	10:00	1.033	0.848	5
10:00	11:00	1.007	0.958	5
11:00	12:00	1.007	1.041	5
12:00	13:00	1.002	1.122	5
13:00	14:00	1.001	0.994	4
14:00	15:00	0.974	1.034	4
15:00	16:00	0.953	0.970	4
16:00	17:00	1.030	1.046	4
17:00	18:00	0.949	1.084	4
18:00	19:00	0.928	1.126	3
19:00	20:00	0.921	1.139	3
20:00	21:00	1.021	1.047	4
21:00	22:00	1.000	0.959	3
22:00	23:00	1.037	1.116	3
23:00	00:00	1.018	1.067	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Recipe: Bristle Whisker Catfish?: On PvP Horde EU, Recipe: Bristle Whisker Catfish is cheapest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (01:00 to 04:00 CET) and dearest from 13:00 to 16:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 52% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.