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Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde US, Pattern: Deviate Scale Belt is cheapest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (20:00 to 23:00 Pacific) and dearest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (17:00 to 20:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 113% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/us

Item

Best hours to buy

04:00 to 07:00 UTC

20:00 to 23:00 Pacific · index 0.784 · typical 5s 95c

Best hours to sell

01:00 to 04:00 UTC

17:00 to 20:00 Pacific · index 1.351 · typical 11s 96c

Spread after the 5% cut

+113%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

provisional

Provisional: the thinnest hour has 3 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days; 10 makes it settled.

Pattern: Deviate Scale Beltby hour · PvP Horde US

Hour (UTC)TypicalLowestIndex
00:0013s 5c7s1.026
01:0015s 14c7s1.547
02:009s 3c6s 20c1.034
03:0011s 72c6s1.473
04:006s 33c5s 60c0.762
05:005s 33c5s0.808
06:006s 20c5s 40c0.781
07:008s 8c5s 25c0.916
08:008s 75c5s1.205
09:008s 70c5s 20c1.094
10:005s 75c5s 25c0.875
11:0021s 33c21s0.886
12:0024s 60c24s 20c0.976
13:0024s 29c18s 20c0.951
14:0024s 20c17s0.977
15:006s 13c5s0.962
16:0024s 20c17s1.039
17:0020s 87c17s0.986
18:0017s 20c16s 80c0.938
19:0017s 22c13s0.949
20:0017s 88c13s1.031
21:0017s 82c9s 40c1.017
22:006s5s 50c0.947
23:009s 40c7s 20c0.820

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.us/6476 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde US

Hour (UTC)Price indexListings indexDays
00:000.9881.0005
01:001.0410.9534
02:001.0310.9346
03:001.0361.0196
04:000.9981.0826
05:001.0021.1514
06:000.9831.1906
07:001.0081.2084
08:001.0271.1345
09:001.0351.1026
10:000.9951.0585
11:000.9891.1546
12:000.9841.0205
13:000.9800.9905
14:000.9840.9625
15:000.9970.9184
16:001.0000.8675
17:000.9860.8695
18:001.0270.8585
19:001.0020.8655
20:000.9920.9035
21:000.9730.9235
22:000.9660.8894
23:000.9730.9495

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

When is the WoW Forever auction house cheapest during the day?
Across PvP Horde US, prices run cheapest around 22:00 UTC (14:00 Pacific), 3.4% under the daily average, and dearest around 01:00 UTC (17:00 Pacific), 4.1% over. The pattern is read from the hourly price of the market's largest positions over the last few weeks, each hour against the day around it.
What is the best time of day to buy and sell Pattern: Deviate Scale Belt?
On PvP Horde US, Pattern: Deviate Scale Belt is cheapest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (20:00 to 23:00 Pacific) and dearest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (17:00 to 20:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 113% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?
Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?
Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde US through the night fills the gaps.