How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Shiny Bauble is cheapest from 14:00 to 17:00 UTC (15:00 to 18:00 CET) and dearest from 06:00 to 09:00 UTC (07:00 to 10:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 1176% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

14:00 to 17:00 UTC

15:00 to 18:00 CET · index 0.741 · typical 1s 48c

Best hours to sell

06:00 to 09:00 UTC

07:00 to 10:00 CET · index 1.365 · typical 15s 50c

Spread after the 5% cut

+1176%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Shiny Baubleby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	1s 82c	1s 10c	53	0.930	1
01:00	02:00	1s 1c	86c	34	1.092	3
02:00	03:00	57c	50c	37	1.078	2
03:00	04:00	57c	49c	32	1.092	2
04:00	05:00	41c	33c	41	1.057	2
05:00	06:00	1s 5c	84c	32	1.140	2
06:00	07:00	15s 51c	10s 49c	23	1.344	5
07:00	08:00	15s 49c	89c	22	1.373	5
08:00	09:00	15s 49c	10s 49c	22	1.377	5
09:00	10:00	10s 49c	2s 43c	21	1.200	5
10:00	11:00	10s 46c	2s 1c	25	1.155	5
11:00	12:00	1s 73c	1s 67c	28	0.783	4
12:00	13:00	2s 71c	2s 60c	22	0.647	2
13:00	14:00	59c	47c	28	0.968	3
14:00	15:00	1s 96c	1s 46c	24	0.724	3
15:00	16:00	1s 29c	1s 5c	27	0.702	3
16:00	17:00	1s 18c	95c	31	0.797	4
17:00	18:00	1s 10c	1s	35	0.742	3
18:00	19:00	42c	42c	24	0.978	2
19:00	20:00	1s 2c	94c	32	0.790	3
20:00	21:00	42c	41c	35	1.008	2
21:00	22:00	44c	43c	32	0.976	1
22:00	23:00	53c	46c	43	1.043	3
23:00	00:00	91c	74c	46	1.001	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/6529 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.996	1.109	1
01:00	02:00	1.008	1.050	4
02:00	03:00	1.044	1.010	3
03:00	04:00	1.032	0.998	2
04:00	05:00	1.037	1.005	3
05:00	06:00	1.065	0.787	2
06:00	07:00	1.026	0.845	5
07:00	08:00	1.040	0.797	5
08:00	09:00	1.022	0.854	5
09:00	10:00	1.015	0.906	5
10:00	11:00	1.044	0.920	5
11:00	12:00	0.998	0.902	4
12:00	13:00	0.985	0.879	2
13:00	14:00	0.991	1.004	3
14:00	15:00	0.989	1.018	3
15:00	16:00	0.984	1.066	3
16:00	17:00	0.968	1.087	4
17:00	18:00	0.959	1.104	3
18:00	19:00	0.959	1.143	2
19:00	20:00	0.995	1.027	3
20:00	21:00	0.950	1.170	2
21:00	22:00	0.944	1.085	1
22:00	23:00	0.949	1.148	3
23:00	00:00	1.000	1.086	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Shiny Bauble?: On PvP Alliance EU, Shiny Bauble is cheapest from 14:00 to 17:00 UTC (15:00 to 18:00 CET) and dearest from 06:00 to 09:00 UTC (07:00 to 10:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 1176% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.