How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, White Woolen Dress is cheapest from 16:00 to 19:00 UTC (17:00 to 20:00 CET) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 88% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

16:00 to 19:00 UTC

17:00 to 20:00 CET · index 0.826 · typical 7s 56c

Best hours to sell

20:00 to 23:00 UTC

21:00 to 00:00 CET · index 1.195 · typical 14s 21c

Spread after the 5% cut

+88%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

White Woolen Dressby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	10s 50c	10s	57	0.901	4
01:00	02:00	7s 33c	6s 67c	69	0.858	3
02:00	03:00	7s 33c	7s	72	0.874	3
03:00	04:00	7s 33c	7s 33c	54	0.885	3
04:00	05:00	6s 25c	6s	42	0.829	2
05:00	06:00	14s 50c	14s 50c	31	1.035	2
06:00	07:00	12s	12s	34	0.967	3
07:00	08:00	10s 50c	10s 25c	23	0.961	4
08:00	09:00	11s	11s	29	1.044	4
09:00	10:00	12s 83c	10s 50c	33	1.248	4
10:00	11:00	10s 67c	9s 25c	50	1.028	4
11:00	12:00	11s 29c	8s 50c	57	1.103	4
12:00	13:00	10s 72c	8s 50c	66	1.111	4
13:00	14:00	10s 42c	8s 50c	74	1.082	4
14:00	15:00	9s 25c	8s 50c	81	0.975	4
15:00	16:00	7s 33c	6s 33c	116	0.945	3
16:00	17:00	7s 89c	7s 33c	81	0.810	3
17:00	18:00	7s 78c	7s 67c	77	0.806	3
18:00	19:00	7s	6s 50c	106	0.863	2
19:00	20:00	11s 33c	11s	69	0.922	3
20:00	21:00	14s 25c	10s 50c	48	1.217	4
21:00	22:00	12s 50c	12s 50c	41	0.976	2
22:00	23:00	15s 89c	10s 33c	50	1.393	3
23:00	00:00	13s 25c	10s	48	1.166	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/6787 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.999	1.111	4
01:00	02:00	0.964	1.108	4
02:00	03:00	0.960	1.116	3
03:00	04:00	1.030	0.827	3
04:00	05:00	1.112	0.834	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.815	2
06:00	07:00	1.035	0.836	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.743	4
08:00	09:00	1.002	0.829	5
09:00	10:00	1.040	0.814	5
10:00	11:00	1.015	0.898	5
11:00	12:00	1.013	0.953	5
12:00	13:00	1.001	1.024	5
13:00	14:00	1.002	1.112	5
14:00	15:00	0.973	1.193	5
15:00	16:00	0.957	1.202	5
16:00	17:00	1.014	1.050	4
17:00	18:00	0.948	1.086	4
18:00	19:00	0.934	1.123	3
19:00	20:00	0.928	1.148	3
20:00	21:00	1.007	1.048	4
21:00	22:00	0.999	0.941	3
22:00	23:00	1.025	1.118	3
23:00	00:00	1.005	1.073	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell White Woolen Dress?: On PvP Horde EU, White Woolen Dress is cheapest from 16:00 to 19:00 UTC (17:00 to 20:00 CET) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 88% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.