How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance US, Green Silken Shoulders is cheapest from 14:00 to 17:00 UTC (06:00 to 09:00 Pacific) and dearest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 19% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/us

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

14:00 to 17:00 UTC

06:00 to 09:00 Pacific · index 0.843 · typical 1g 16s 45c

Best hours to sell

22:00 to 01:00 UTC

14:00 to 17:00 Pacific · index 1.146 · typical 1g 37s 41c

Spread after the 5% cut

+19%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Green Silken Shouldersby hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	16:00	63s	62s	26	1.053	2
01:00	17:00	1g 42s	1g 41s 33c	19	1.177	3
02:00	18:00	62s	61s	32	1.056	2
03:00	19:00	62s	61s	24	1.087	2
04:00	20:00	60s	59s	39	1.060	2
05:00	21:00	74s 17c	60s 33c	35	0.930	3
06:00	22:00	1g 31s 13c	1g 24s 75c	31	0.905	4
07:00	23:00	1g 28s	1g 19s 75c	38	0.878	4
08:00	00:00	1g 59s	1g 47s 67c	38	0.872	3
09:00	01:00	1g 59s	1g 42s 67c	34	0.877	3
10:00	02:00	1g 32s	1g 27s 25c	9	0.971	4
11:00	03:00	1g 59s	1g 39s 33c	35	0.923	3
12:00	04:00	3g 39s	3g 39s	4	1.033	1
13:00	05:00	1g 98s	1g 88s 50c	31	0.985	2
14:00	06:00	1g 53s 67c	1g 42s 33c	18	0.946	3
15:00	07:00	45s	44s	17	0.677	2
16:00	08:00	1g 50s 67c	1g 42s 33c	11	0.905	3
17:00	09:00	1g 55s 89c	1g 55s 33c	12	0.997	3
18:00	10:00	2g 14s 50c	2g 5s	5	1.148	2
19:00	11:00	2g 14s 50c	2g 5s	6	1.177	2
20:00	12:00	58s 50c	54s	26	0.925	2
21:00	13:00	80s	75s	9	1.034	1
22:00	14:00	2g 5s	2g 4s 50c	4	1.242	2
23:00	15:00	1g 44s 22c	1g 24s 67c	15	1.143	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.us/7057 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	16:00	1.025	0.959	4
01:00	17:00	1.082	0.840	3
02:00	18:00	0.993	1.061	3
03:00	19:00	1.011	1.016	3
04:00	20:00	0.995	1.074	4
05:00	21:00	1.000	1.092	5
06:00	22:00	1.020	1.143	4
07:00	23:00	1.001	1.194	5
08:00	00:00	1.011	1.116	4
09:00	01:00	0.987	1.133	4
10:00	02:00	1.014	1.059	5
11:00	03:00	0.999	1.090	3
12:00	04:00	1.014	0.987	2
13:00	05:00	0.990	0.984	3
14:00	06:00	0.995	0.984	4
15:00	07:00	0.973	0.963	3
16:00	08:00	0.972	0.938	4
17:00	09:00	0.974	0.888	4
18:00	10:00	0.977	0.935	3
19:00	11:00	0.993	0.902	3
20:00	12:00	0.984	0.913	3
21:00	13:00	0.992	0.839	2
22:00	14:00	0.998	0.927	3
23:00	15:00	1.003	0.962	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Green Silken Shoulders?: On PvP Alliance US, Green Silken Shoulders is cheapest from 14:00 to 17:00 UTC (06:00 to 09:00 Pacific) and dearest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 19% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.