How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Elder's Gloves is cheapest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 CET) and dearest from 16:00 to 19:00 UTC (17:00 to 20:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 86% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

11:00 to 14:00 UTC

12:00 to 15:00 CET · index 0.881 · typical 31s 67c

Best hours to sell

16:00 to 19:00 UTC

17:00 to 20:00 CET · index 1.145 · typical 50s

Spread after the 5% cut

+86%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Elder's Glovesby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	41s 11c	24s	21	1.005	3
01:00	02:00	36s 50c	24s	21	0.922	3
02:00	03:00	33s 83c	24s	22	0.885	3
03:00	04:00	38s	25s 33c	12	1.019	3
04:00	05:00	24s	20s 50c	27	0.901	2
05:00	06:00	73s	30s	4	1.341	1
06:00	07:00	29s	28s 50c	10	0.799	2
07:00	08:00	28s 33c	24s 67c	11	0.924	3
08:00	09:00	28s	23s 67c	13	0.922	3
09:00	10:00	35s 67c	24s 67c	12	1.097	3
10:00	11:00	32s 58c	24s 33c	14	1.020	3
11:00	12:00	26s 67c	21s	16	0.904	3
12:00	13:00	29s 25c	27s	14	0.792	4
13:00	14:00	39s 8c	28s 67c	13	0.947	3
14:00	15:00	36s 34c	25s 50c	21	1.101	2
15:00	16:00	28s 42c	25s 50c	18	0.912	2
16:00	17:00	64s 33c	56s	12	1.333	3
17:00	18:00	57s 67c	56s	12	1.152	3
18:00	19:00	28s	25s 50c	22	0.949	2
19:00	20:00	28s	23s 50c	26	0.951	2
20:00	21:00	57s 38c	55s 33c	15	1.237	3
21:00	22:00	25s 11c	18s	29	1.012	1
22:00	23:00	27s 17c	23s	22	0.947	2
23:00	00:00	37s	34s	18	0.928	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/7366 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.004	1.122	4
01:00	02:00	0.965	1.134	4
02:00	03:00	0.953	1.163	3
03:00	04:00	1.014	0.848	3
04:00	05:00	1.114	0.892	4
05:00	06:00	1.026	0.829	2
06:00	07:00	1.033	0.854	3
07:00	08:00	1.031	0.809	4
08:00	09:00	1.002	0.897	5
09:00	10:00	1.036	0.872	5
10:00	11:00	1.008	0.990	5
11:00	12:00	1.003	1.087	5
12:00	13:00	1.016	0.933	4
13:00	14:00	0.999	0.998	4
14:00	15:00	0.976	1.036	4
15:00	16:00	0.955	0.965	4
16:00	17:00	1.020	1.051	4
17:00	18:00	0.948	1.082	4
18:00	19:00	0.933	1.118	3
19:00	20:00	0.921	1.135	3
20:00	21:00	1.016	1.044	4
21:00	22:00	0.987	0.957	3
22:00	23:00	1.027	1.116	3
23:00	00:00	1.013	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Elder's Gloves?: On PvP Horde EU, Elder's Gloves is cheapest from 11:00 to 14:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 CET) and dearest from 16:00 to 19:00 UTC (17:00 to 20:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 86% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.