How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Phalanx Cloak is cheapest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (05:00 to 08:00 CET) and dearest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (01:00 to 04:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 145% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

04:00 to 07:00 UTC

05:00 to 08:00 CET · index 0.789 · typical 47s 58c

Best hours to sell

00:00 to 03:00 UTC

01:00 to 04:00 CET · index 1.309 · typical 78s 41c

Spread after the 5% cut

+145%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Phalanx Cloakby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	1g	1g	1	1.408	1
01:00	02:00	73s 73c	52s	12	1.259	3
02:00	03:00	61s 50c	28s	20	1.260	2
03:00	04:00	61s 50c	27s	20	1.247	2
04:00	05:00	37s 50c	14s 50c	25	0.654	2
05:00	06:00	52s 50c	46s 50c	10	0.913	2
06:00	07:00	52s 75c	30s 25c	13	0.801	4
07:00	08:00	58s 50c	30s 75c	10	0.891	4
08:00	09:00	57s 85c	26s 75c	11	0.878	4
09:00	10:00	51s 50c	26s 75c	10	0.752	4
10:00	11:00	61s	26s 75c	10	0.900	4
11:00	12:00	57s 83c	30s 75c	10	0.869	4
12:00	13:00	42s 67c	15s	12	0.774	1
13:00	14:00	59s	34s	11	1.002	3
14:00	15:00	46s 50c	18s	19	0.888	2
15:00	16:00	51s 50c	18s	20	0.988	2
16:00	17:00	57s 67c	32s 67c	16	1.051	3
17:00	18:00	56s 30c	18s	21	1.115	2
18:00	19:00	50s	18s	24	0.969	2
19:00	20:00	59s 14c	18s	20	1.122	2
20:00	21:00	58s 57c	17s 50c	26	1.067	2
21:00	22:00	42s 20c	21s	25	0.884	1
22:00	23:00	61s 11c	28s	21	1.078	3
23:00	00:00	77s 56c	45s	16	1.232	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/7419 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.999	1.123	1
01:00	02:00	1.013	1.062	4
02:00	03:00	1.056	1.023	3
03:00	04:00	1.032	1.017	2
04:00	05:00	1.041	1.000	3
05:00	06:00	1.055	0.794	2
06:00	07:00	1.023	0.843	5
07:00	08:00	1.042	0.789	5
08:00	09:00	1.026	0.838	5
09:00	10:00	1.015	0.882	5
10:00	11:00	1.031	0.913	5
11:00	12:00	0.983	1.040	5
12:00	13:00	0.977	0.873	2
13:00	14:00	0.985	1.003	3
14:00	15:00	0.982	1.004	3
15:00	16:00	0.975	1.048	3
16:00	17:00	0.966	1.074	4
17:00	18:00	0.962	1.087	3
18:00	19:00	0.952	1.128	2
19:00	20:00	1.002	1.025	3
20:00	21:00	0.962	1.153	2
21:00	22:00	0.954	1.066	1
22:00	23:00	0.961	1.143	3
23:00	00:00	1.005	1.075	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Phalanx Cloak?: On PvP Alliance EU, Phalanx Cloak is cheapest from 04:00 to 07:00 UTC (05:00 to 08:00 CET) and dearest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (01:00 to 04:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 145% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.