How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Chunk of Boar Meat is cheapest from 18:00 to 21:00 UTC (19:00 to 22:00 CET) and dearest from 05:00 to 08:00 UTC (06:00 to 09:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 68% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

18:00 to 21:00 UTC

19:00 to 22:00 CET · index 0.866 · typical 1s 71c

Best hours to sell

05:00 to 08:00 UTC

06:00 to 09:00 CET · index 1.243 · typical 2s 54c

Spread after the 5% cut

+68%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Chunk of Boar Meatby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	1s 86c	1s 49c	75	0.896	4
01:00	02:00	1s 92c	1s 88c	44	0.905	4
02:00	03:00	2s 23c	2s 18c	44	0.991	3
03:00	04:00	2s 18c	2s 5c	67	0.966	3
04:00	05:00	2s 92c	1s 62c	62	1.420	4
05:00	06:00	2s 2c	1s 84c	45	1.096	2
06:00	07:00	2s 28c	1s 97c	62	1.132	3
07:00	08:00	3s 33c	1s 96c	50	1.500	4
08:00	09:00	1s 88c	1s 60c	89	0.972	5
09:00	10:00	1s 91c	1s 58c	75	0.977	5
10:00	11:00	2s 28c	1s 55c	71	1.127	5
11:00	12:00	2s 21c	1s 50c	83	1.077	5
12:00	13:00	1s 70c	1s 39c	100	0.882	4
13:00	14:00	1s 70c	1s 24c	99	0.871	4
14:00	15:00	1s 72c	1s 46c	87	0.880	4
15:00	16:00	1s 66c	1s 50c	50	0.848	4
16:00	17:00	2s	1s 39c	72	1.121	4
17:00	18:00	1s 97c	1s 57c	110	1.098	4
18:00	19:00	1s 78c	1s 50c	91	0.922	3
19:00	20:00	1s 68c	1s 43c	112	0.831	3
20:00	21:00	1s 67c	1s 39c	119	0.844	4
21:00	22:00	1s 73c	1s 50c	94	0.941	3
22:00	23:00	1s 78c	1s 50c	105	0.856	3
23:00	00:00	1s 76c	1s 49c	88	0.846	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/769 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.002	1.124	4
01:00	02:00	0.956	1.134	4
02:00	03:00	0.950	1.159	3
03:00	04:00	1.018	0.842	3
04:00	05:00	1.120	0.898	4
05:00	06:00	1.022	0.833	2
06:00	07:00	1.030	0.853	3
07:00	08:00	1.024	0.814	4
08:00	09:00	0.997	0.903	5
09:00	10:00	1.030	0.869	5
10:00	11:00	0.997	1.008	5
11:00	12:00	1.001	1.065	5
12:00	13:00	1.022	0.934	4
13:00	14:00	1.004	0.994	4
14:00	15:00	0.985	1.028	4
15:00	16:00	0.964	0.963	4
16:00	17:00	1.023	1.044	4
17:00	18:00	0.949	1.082	4
18:00	19:00	0.931	1.126	3
19:00	20:00	0.925	1.139	3
20:00	21:00	1.019	1.044	4
21:00	22:00	0.985	0.962	3
22:00	23:00	1.032	1.117	3
23:00	00:00	1.014	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Chunk of Boar Meat?: On PvP Horde EU, Chunk of Boar Meat is cheapest from 18:00 to 21:00 UTC (19:00 to 22:00 CET) and dearest from 05:00 to 08:00 UTC (06:00 to 09:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 68% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.