How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Dire Wand is cheapest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 CET) and dearest from 13:00 to 16:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 189% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

01:00 to 04:00 UTC

02:00 to 05:00 CET · index 0.782 · typical 34s 11c

Best hours to sell

13:00 to 16:00 UTC

14:00 to 17:00 CET · index 1.357 · typical 97s 84c

Spread after the 5% cut

+189%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Dire Wandby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	49s 59c	45s 25c	48	0.855	4
01:00	02:00	47s	44s 75c	48	0.813	4
02:00	03:00	27s 33c	25s 67c	59	0.747	3
03:00	04:00	28s	26s	47	0.786	3
04:00	05:00	55s	49s 67c	32	1.026	3
05:00	06:00	64s	62s 50c	34	0.850	2
06:00	07:00	51s 33c	49s 33c	40	0.822	3
07:00	08:00	46s 38c	43s	31	0.929	4
08:00	09:00	44s 75c	43s 75c	30	0.895	4
09:00	10:00	44s 55c	36s 75c	21	0.918	4
10:00	11:00	43s 75c	36s	20	0.908	4
11:00	12:00	40s 53c	35s 50c	21	0.916	4
12:00	13:00	40s 7c	35s	24	0.929	4
13:00	14:00	1g 2s 10c	1g 60c	23	1.214	5
14:00	15:00	1g 22s 33c	1g 13s	30	1.646	5
15:00	16:00	69s 8c	62s 80c	29	1.212	5
16:00	17:00	65s 23c	57s 40c	47	1.133	5
17:00	18:00	72s 72c	58s 75c	54	1.128	4
18:00	19:00	57s 69c	39s 25c	62	1.037	4
19:00	20:00	57s 58c	43s 50c	59	1.037	4
20:00	21:00	62s 23c	42s	51	1.135	5
21:00	22:00	64s 67c	63s 67c	18	1.036	3
22:00	23:00	65s 11c	51s	39	1.080	3
23:00	00:00	54s 75c	45s 50c	47	0.948	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/8186 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.004	1.126	4
01:00	02:00	0.960	1.117	4
02:00	03:00	0.956	1.124	3
03:00	04:00	1.022	0.831	3
04:00	05:00	1.110	0.846	4
05:00	06:00	1.034	0.808	2
06:00	07:00	1.035	0.849	3
07:00	08:00	1.009	0.730	4
08:00	09:00	0.997	0.802	5
09:00	10:00	1.035	0.787	5
10:00	11:00	1.020	0.863	5
11:00	12:00	1.005	0.903	5
12:00	13:00	1.016	0.944	5
13:00	14:00	1.008	1.021	5
14:00	15:00	0.982	1.082	5
15:00	16:00	0.971	1.063	5
16:00	17:00	1.004	1.138	5
17:00	18:00	0.956	1.083	4
18:00	19:00	0.958	1.229	4
19:00	20:00	0.947	1.244	4
20:00	21:00	0.978	1.243	5
21:00	22:00	0.991	0.958	3
22:00	23:00	1.008	1.125	3
23:00	00:00	0.995	1.082	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Dire Wand?: On PvP Horde EU, Dire Wand is cheapest from 01:00 to 04:00 UTC (02:00 to 05:00 CET) and dearest from 13:00 to 16:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 189% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.