How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Slicer Blade is cheapest from 16:00 to 19:00 UTC (17:00 to 20:00 CET) and dearest from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 37% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

16:00 to 19:00 UTC

17:00 to 20:00 CET · index 0.839 · typical 41s 39c

Best hours to sell

03:00 to 06:00 UTC

04:00 to 07:00 CET · index 1.112 · typical 47s 50c

Spread after the 5% cut

+37%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 0 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Slicer Bladeby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
01:00	02:00	49s 50c	42s 50c	19	0.973	2
02:00	03:00	49s 50c	41s 50c	20	1.109	2
03:00	04:00	49s 50c	41s	21	1.126	2
04:00	05:00	41s	37s 50c	16	1.074	2
05:00	06:00	52s	45s	20	1.138	1
06:00	07:00	42s 83c	40s	15	1.050	3
07:00	08:00	42s	39s	15	1.029	3
08:00	09:00	41s 47c	32s 67c	15	1.021	3
09:00	10:00	1g 8s 75c	97s 75c	11	1.086	4
10:00	11:00	1g 33s 17c	1g 22s 33c	11	1.204	3
11:00	12:00	70s 78c	30s	11	0.895	3
12:00	13:00	36s	25s	12	0.893	1
13:00	14:00	1g 24s	1g 18s	13	1.139	3
14:00	15:00	42s	27s	11	1.034	2
15:00	16:00	36s 88c	25s	11	0.916	2
16:00	17:00	55s 17c	41s	13	0.773	3
17:00	18:00	34s 50c	27s 50c	11	0.869	2
18:00	19:00	34s 50c	30s	9	0.875	2
19:00	20:00	39s 50c	34s 50c	5	1.008	2
20:00	21:00	37s	37s	9	0.951	2
21:00	22:00	30s	25s	10	0.768	1
22:00	23:00	48s	34s	13	0.910	3
23:00	00:00	44s 50c	39s	9	1.158	2

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/820 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.985	1.123	1
01:00	02:00	1.008	1.052	4
02:00	03:00	1.049	1.010	3
03:00	04:00	1.032	0.998	2
04:00	05:00	1.039	1.030	3
05:00	06:00	1.060	0.801	2
06:00	07:00	1.024	0.876	5
07:00	08:00	1.037	0.820	5
08:00	09:00	1.021	0.886	5
09:00	10:00	1.003	0.942	5
10:00	11:00	1.069	0.754	5
11:00	12:00	0.989	0.900	4
12:00	13:00	0.983	0.872	2
13:00	14:00	0.988	0.988	3
14:00	15:00	0.986	1.010	3
15:00	16:00	0.978	1.064	3
16:00	17:00	0.969	1.090	4
17:00	18:00	0.959	1.115	3
18:00	19:00	0.960	1.155	2
19:00	20:00	0.990	1.040	3
20:00	21:00	0.954	1.160	2
21:00	22:00	0.964	1.073	1
22:00	23:00	0.953	1.150	3
23:00	00:00	0.999	1.092	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Slicer Blade?: On PvP Alliance EU, Slicer Blade is cheapest from 16:00 to 19:00 UTC (17:00 to 20:00 CET) and dearest from 03:00 to 06:00 UTC (04:00 to 07:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 37% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.