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Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/us

Item

Best hours to buy

Not enough hours scanned yet.

Best hours to sell

Not enough hours scanned yet.

Spread after the 5% cut

Needs both windows.

Confidence

No pattern

No pattern yet: only 2 of the 24 hours of the day have been scanned on this market in the last 28 days. It fills in as players scan through the day.

Reins of the Spotted Frostsaberby hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)TypicalLowestIndex
12:0030g 1s30g 1s1.000
13:0030g 1s30g 1s1.000

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.us/8632 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)Price indexListings indexDays
00:001.0180.9844
01:001.0840.8493
02:000.9881.0443
03:000.9960.9863
04:000.9831.0374
05:000.9941.0375
06:001.0311.0644
07:001.0001.1265
08:001.0091.1224
09:000.9881.1264
10:001.0260.9695
11:001.0031.0713
12:001.0151.1843
13:000.9941.1254
14:001.0010.9594
15:000.9760.9473
16:000.9730.9244
17:000.9820.8844
18:000.9740.9223
19:000.9920.9003
20:000.9820.9433
21:000.9860.8672
22:001.0020.9403
23:001.0020.9914

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?
Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?
Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.