How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance EU, Bandit Cinch is cheapest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (01:00 to 04:00 CET) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 176% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

00:00 to 03:00 UTC

01:00 to 04:00 CET · index 0.827 · typical 13s 47c

Best hours to sell

20:00 to 23:00 UTC

21:00 to 00:00 CET · index 1.102 · typical 18s 59c

Spread after the 5% cut

+176%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Bandit Cinchby hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	16s	9s	24	0.902	1
01:00	02:00	13s 40c	5s 67c	38	0.850	3
02:00	03:00	11s	4s 50c	51	0.730	2
03:00	04:00	14s	4s 50c	50	0.929	2
04:00	05:00	22s	4s 50c	58	1.172	2
05:00	06:00	15s	7s	22	0.998	2
06:00	07:00	16s 40c	7s 60c	27	0.905	5
07:00	08:00	16s 90c	7s 60c	24	0.937	5
08:00	09:00	19s 70c	5s 50c	28	1.152	4
09:00	10:00	17s 13c	5s 25c	29	1.017	4
10:00	11:00	18s 70c	7s 60c	19	0.995	5
11:00	12:00	19s 25c	13s	17	1.071	4
12:00	13:00	23s 34c	8s	16	1.161	2
13:00	14:00	14s 33c	5s 33c	30	0.956	3
14:00	15:00	17s 33c	9s 67c	27	0.944	3
15:00	16:00	17s	9s 67c	30	0.948	3
16:00	17:00	16s 69c	9s	33	1.012	4
17:00	18:00	16s 33c	6s 67c	38	0.895	3
18:00	19:00	18s 67c	5s	42	1.098	2
19:00	20:00	17s 98c	8s 33c	33	0.990	3
20:00	21:00	19s 86c	4s 50c	51	1.142	2
21:00	22:00	19s 20c	5s	42	1.172	1
22:00	23:00	16s 72c	4s 67c	54	0.993	3
23:00	00:00	18s 33c	6s 33c	43	1.033	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.eu/9775 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.996	1.109	1
01:00	02:00	1.008	1.050	4
02:00	03:00	1.044	1.010	3
03:00	04:00	1.032	0.998	2
04:00	05:00	1.037	1.005	3
05:00	06:00	1.065	0.787	2
06:00	07:00	1.026	0.845	5
07:00	08:00	1.040	0.797	5
08:00	09:00	1.022	0.854	5
09:00	10:00	1.015	0.906	5
10:00	11:00	1.044	0.920	5
11:00	12:00	0.998	0.902	4
12:00	13:00	0.985	0.879	2
13:00	14:00	0.991	1.004	3
14:00	15:00	0.989	1.018	3
15:00	16:00	0.984	1.066	3
16:00	17:00	0.968	1.087	4
17:00	18:00	0.959	1.104	3
18:00	19:00	0.959	1.143	2
19:00	20:00	0.995	1.027	3
20:00	21:00	0.950	1.170	2
21:00	22:00	0.944	1.085	1
22:00	23:00	0.949	1.148	3
23:00	00:00	1.000	1.086	3

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Bandit Cinch?: On PvP Alliance EU, Bandit Cinch is cheapest from 00:00 to 03:00 UTC (01:00 to 04:00 CET) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (21:00 to 00:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 176% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance EU through the night fills the gaps.