How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Bandit Gloves is cheapest from 02:00 to 05:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 CET) and dearest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 215% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

02:00 to 05:00 UTC

03:00 to 06:00 CET · index 0.911 · typical 21s 37c

Best hours to sell

15:00 to 18:00 UTC

16:00 to 19:00 CET · index 1.146 · typical 28s 3c

Spread after the 5% cut

+215%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Bandit Glovesby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	23s 13c	9s	26	1.014	4
01:00	02:00	22s 92c	9s 50c	26	1.001	4
02:00	03:00	21s 67c	7s 67c	32	0.935	3
03:00	04:00	24s 11c	8s	21	1.021	3
04:00	05:00	18s 33c	9s 67c	16	0.777	3
05:00	06:00	23s 17c	12s	11	1.091	2
06:00	07:00	18s 50c	10s 67c	15	0.893	3
07:00	08:00	20s 84c	9s 25c	14	0.933	4
08:00	09:00	25s 12c	14s 80c	11	1.017	5
09:00	10:00	24s 19c	13s 80c	10	0.994	5
10:00	11:00	23s 60c	14s 20c	13	0.973	5
11:00	12:00	23s 67c	10s 20c	17	0.971	5
12:00	13:00	23s 81c	15s 25c	13	1.001	4
13:00	14:00	22s 65c	14s 50c	17	0.945	4
14:00	15:00	25s 13c	12s	19	1.041	4
15:00	16:00	33s 14c	10s	16	1.334	3
16:00	17:00	25s 19c	9s 75c	16	1.040	4
17:00	18:00	25s 75c	13s 25c	20	1.066	4
18:00	19:00	24s 33c	9s 67c	20	1.026	3
19:00	20:00	22s 33c	6s 67c	21	0.960	3
20:00	21:00	25s 36c	12s 75c	22	1.088	4
21:00	22:00	25s 75c	11s 50c	31	0.911	2
22:00	23:00	21s	9s 67c	28	0.912	3
23:00	00:00	24s 38c	10s	24	1.056	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/9780 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.002	1.124	4
01:00	02:00	0.956	1.134	4
02:00	03:00	0.950	1.159	3
03:00	04:00	1.018	0.842	3
04:00	05:00	1.120	0.898	4
05:00	06:00	1.022	0.833	2
06:00	07:00	1.030	0.853	3
07:00	08:00	1.024	0.814	4
08:00	09:00	0.997	0.903	5
09:00	10:00	1.030	0.869	5
10:00	11:00	0.997	1.008	5
11:00	12:00	1.001	1.065	5
12:00	13:00	1.022	0.934	4
13:00	14:00	1.004	0.994	4
14:00	15:00	0.985	1.028	4
15:00	16:00	0.964	0.963	4
16:00	17:00	1.023	1.044	4
17:00	18:00	0.949	1.082	4
18:00	19:00	0.931	1.126	3
19:00	20:00	0.925	1.139	3
20:00	21:00	1.019	1.044	4
21:00	22:00	0.985	0.962	3
22:00	23:00	1.032	1.117	3
23:00	00:00	1.014	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Bandit Gloves?: On PvP Horde EU, Bandit Gloves is cheapest from 02:00 to 05:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 CET) and dearest from 15:00 to 18:00 UTC (16:00 to 19:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 215% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.