How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Bandit Jerkin is cheapest from 10:00 to 13:00 UTC (11:00 to 14:00 CET) and dearest from 13:00 to 16:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 594% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

10:00 to 13:00 UTC

11:00 to 14:00 CET · index 0.733 · typical 36s 97c

Best hours to sell

13:00 to 16:00 UTC

14:00 to 17:00 CET · index 1.374 · typical 1g 25s 33c

Spread after the 5% cut

+594%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 2 days of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Bandit Jerkinby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	61s 46c	23s 75c	21	1.099	4
01:00	02:00	74s 75c	20s 25c	24	1.340	4
02:00	03:00	46s	15s 33c	27	1.021	3
03:00	04:00	63s 44c	15s 33c	21	1.390	3
04:00	05:00	54s 67c	22s 33c	16	1.065	3
05:00	06:00	32s 50c	24s	13	0.475	2
06:00	07:00	45s 17c	18s 67c	18	0.761	3
07:00	08:00	55s 43c	17s	15	1.027	4
08:00	09:00	46s 50c	17s	15	0.928	4
09:00	10:00	43s 42c	17s 25c	10	0.903	4
10:00	11:00	37s 38c	15s 50c	11	0.782	4
11:00	12:00	43s	15s 50c	13	0.913	4
12:00	13:00	30s 54c	20s 50c	10	0.504	4
13:00	14:00	1g 52s 41c	1g 14s 25c	9	1.588	4
14:00	15:00	1g 9s 98c	61s	11	1.287	4
15:00	16:00	1g 13s 61c	49s 67c	12	1.246	3
16:00	17:00	81s 11c	32s 25c	12	1.053	4
17:00	18:00	83s 33c	29s 25c	17	1.298	4
18:00	19:00	83s 60c	17s 33c	22	0.913	3
19:00	20:00	94s 33c	44s	19	0.983	3
20:00	21:00	53s 34c	26s	17	0.809	4
21:00	22:00	51s 42c	35s	10	0.839	3
22:00	23:00	59s 67c	42s 67c	21	0.766	3
23:00	00:00	59s 42c	35s 25c	21	1.012	4

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/9782 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.002	1.124	4
01:00	02:00	0.956	1.134	4
02:00	03:00	0.950	1.159	3
03:00	04:00	1.018	0.842	3
04:00	05:00	1.120	0.898	4
05:00	06:00	1.022	0.833	2
06:00	07:00	1.030	0.853	3
07:00	08:00	1.024	0.814	4
08:00	09:00	0.997	0.903	5
09:00	10:00	1.030	0.869	5
10:00	11:00	0.997	1.008	5
11:00	12:00	1.001	1.065	5
12:00	13:00	1.022	0.934	4
13:00	14:00	1.004	0.994	4
14:00	15:00	0.985	1.028	4
15:00	16:00	0.964	0.963	4
16:00	17:00	1.023	1.044	4
17:00	18:00	0.949	1.082	4
18:00	19:00	0.931	1.126	3
19:00	20:00	0.925	1.139	3
20:00	21:00	1.019	1.044	4
21:00	22:00	0.985	0.962	3
22:00	23:00	1.032	1.117	3
23:00	00:00	1.014	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Bandit Jerkin?: On PvP Horde EU, Bandit Jerkin is cheapest from 10:00 to 13:00 UTC (11:00 to 14:00 CET) and dearest from 13:00 to 16:00 UTC (14:00 to 17:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 594% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.