How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Durable Shoulders is cheapest from 09:00 to 12:00 UTC (10:00 to 13:00 CET) and dearest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 114% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

09:00 to 12:00 UTC

10:00 to 13:00 CET · index 0.723 · typical 32s 4c

Best hours to sell

22:00 to 01:00 UTC

23:00 to 02:00 CET · index 1.298 · typical 59s 80c

Spread after the 5% cut

+114%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Durable Shouldersby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	65s 22c	33s 67c	16	1.288	3
01:00	02:00	56s 33c	32s 33c	18	1.184	3
02:00	03:00	68s	32s 33c	18	1.341	3
03:00	04:00	44s 17c	32s 33c	15	0.986	3
04:00	05:00	43s 50c	23s 50c	19	1.165	2
05:00	06:00	93s 33c	50s	7	1.325	1
06:00	07:00	73s 50c	37s 50c	17	1.352	2
07:00	08:00	49s 97c	31s 33c	12	0.992	3
08:00	09:00	33s 67c	26s 67c	17	0.751	3
09:00	10:00	32s 93c	26s 67c	14	0.740	3
10:00	11:00	30s 17c	26s 33c	16	0.681	3
11:00	12:00	33s 3c	26s 67c	19	0.749	3
12:00	13:00	58s 73c	50s	15	0.952	4
13:00	14:00	59s 75c	44s 75c	17	1.039	4
14:00	15:00	56s 95c	44s 25c	19	0.990	4
15:00	16:00	45s 72c	25s 67c	27	1.063	3
16:00	17:00	45s 69c	25s 25c	23	0.907	4
17:00	18:00	60s 87c	36s	19	0.909	3
18:00	19:00	30s 50c	29s	28	0.725	2
19:00	20:00	30s 9c	29s	25	0.755	2
20:00	21:00	36s 86c	36s	16	0.712	3
21:00	22:00	25s 78c	19s	22	0.786	1
22:00	23:00	44s 50c	25s	23	1.277	2
23:00	00:00	69s 67c	33s 67c	16	1.329	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/9824 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.006	1.113	4
01:00	02:00	0.966	1.116	4
02:00	03:00	0.957	1.123	3
03:00	04:00	1.021	0.832	3
04:00	05:00	1.111	0.841	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.827	2
06:00	07:00	1.028	0.850	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.744	4
08:00	09:00	1.005	0.827	5
09:00	10:00	1.042	0.813	5
10:00	11:00	1.013	0.892	5
11:00	12:00	1.011	0.941	5
12:00	13:00	1.007	0.999	5
13:00	14:00	1.004	1.079	5
14:00	15:00	0.979	1.164	5
15:00	16:00	0.960	1.163	5
16:00	17:00	1.002	1.227	5
17:00	18:00	0.947	1.065	4
18:00	19:00	0.933	1.108	3
19:00	20:00	0.930	1.125	3
20:00	21:00	1.017	1.033	4
21:00	22:00	0.992	0.942	3
22:00	23:00	1.028	1.111	3
23:00	00:00	1.002	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Durable Shoulders?: On PvP Horde EU, Durable Shoulders is cheapest from 09:00 to 12:00 UTC (10:00 to 13:00 CET) and dearest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 114% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.