How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Alliance US, Conjurer's Breeches is cheapest from 08:00 to 11:00 UTC (00:00 to 03:00 Pacific) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 22% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Alliance US. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/alliance/us

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

08:00 to 11:00 UTC

00:00 to 03:00 Pacific · index 0.911 · typical 76s 56c

Best hours to sell

20:00 to 23:00 UTC

12:00 to 15:00 Pacific · index 1.071 · typical 97s 83c

Spread after the 5% cut

+22%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Conjurer's Breechesby hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	16:00	65s	59s 50c	17	0.965	2
01:00	17:00	1g 10s 33c	1g 6s 33c	10	1.082	3
02:00	18:00	63s	54s 50c	20	0.950	2
03:00	19:00	61s 50c	57s 50c	18	0.943	2
04:00	20:00	60s	57s 50c	20	0.938	2
05:00	21:00	74s 25c	71s 67c	16	0.903	3
06:00	22:00	71s 89c	68s 33c	16	0.901	3
07:00	23:00	88s	68s 33c	18	1.055	3
08:00	00:00	80s	80s	12	0.893	2
09:00	01:00	80s	79s 50c	12	0.902	2
10:00	02:00	69s 67c	68s 33c	11	0.939	3
11:00	03:00	80s	78s 50c	15	0.947	2
12:00	04:00	2g	2g	1	1.012	1
13:00	05:00	1g 35s	1g 33s 50c	9	1.026	2
14:00	06:00	1g 20s	1g 14s	9	1.036	3
15:00	07:00	80s	73s 50c	11	1.062	2
16:00	08:00	1g 20s	1g 15s 67c	8	1.055	3
17:00	09:00	1g 16s 67c	1g 15s 67c	8	1.040	3
18:00	10:00	1g 40s	1g 40s	5	1.029	2
19:00	11:00	1g 40s	1g 40s	5	1.045	2
20:00	12:00	73s 50c	65s	11	1.065	2
21:00	13:00	80s	80s	6	1.016	1
22:00	14:00	1g 40s	1g 39s 50c	5	1.133	2
23:00	15:00	1g 10s	1g 9s 67c	10	1.062	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.alliance.us/9851 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Alliance US

Hour (UTC)	Pacific	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	16:00	1.025	0.959	4
01:00	17:00	1.082	0.840	3
02:00	18:00	0.993	1.061	3
03:00	19:00	1.011	1.016	3
04:00	20:00	0.995	1.074	4
05:00	21:00	1.000	1.092	5
06:00	22:00	1.020	1.143	4
07:00	23:00	1.001	1.194	5
08:00	00:00	1.011	1.116	4
09:00	01:00	0.987	1.133	4
10:00	02:00	1.014	1.059	5
11:00	03:00	0.999	1.090	3
12:00	04:00	1.014	0.987	2
13:00	05:00	0.990	0.984	3
14:00	06:00	0.995	0.984	4
15:00	07:00	0.973	0.963	3
16:00	08:00	0.972	0.938	4
17:00	09:00	0.974	0.888	4
18:00	10:00	0.977	0.935	3
19:00	11:00	0.993	0.902	3
20:00	12:00	0.984	0.913	3
21:00	13:00	0.992	0.839	2
22:00	14:00	0.998	0.927	3
23:00	15:00	1.003	0.962	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Conjurer's Breeches?: On PvP Alliance US, Conjurer's Breeches is cheapest from 08:00 to 11:00 UTC (00:00 to 03:00 Pacific) and dearest from 20:00 to 23:00 UTC (12:00 to 15:00 Pacific). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 22% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Alliance US through the night fills the gaps.