How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Archer's Belt is cheapest from 06:00 to 09:00 UTC (07:00 to 10:00 CET) and dearest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 226% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

06:00 to 09:00 UTC

07:00 to 10:00 CET · index 0.741 · typical 78s 20c

Best hours to sell

22:00 to 01:00 UTC

23:00 to 02:00 CET · index 1.492 · typical 1g 64s 72c

Spread after the 5% cut

+226%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Archer's Beltby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	1g 88s	85s 33c	15	1.542	3
01:00	02:00	1g 8s	57s 33c	17	1.070	3
02:00	03:00	1g 8s	57s 33c	15	1.075	3
03:00	04:00	79s 33c	51s	11	0.743	3
04:00	05:00	66s 50c	26s 50c	17	0.747	2
05:00	06:00	1g 15s	1g	6	0.858	1
06:00	07:00	74s	64s 50c	11	0.655	2
07:00	08:00	82s 42c	50s 67c	9	0.807	3
08:00	09:00	78s 18c	28s 67c	12	0.760	3
09:00	10:00	1g 4s 70c	27s 33c	13	1.063	3
10:00	11:00	96s 67c	27s 33c	15	0.995	3
11:00	12:00	93s 70c	27s	16	0.968	3
12:00	13:00	90s 11c	27s	17	0.963	3
13:00	14:00	1g 4s 50c	58s 75c	15	0.918	4
14:00	15:00	1g 9s 25c	58s 75c	17	0.992	4
15:00	16:00	81s 33c	25s 67c	22	0.933	3
16:00	17:00	1g 1s 26c	52s 75c	18	0.951	4
17:00	18:00	1g 4s 47c	62s 33c	12	0.957	3
18:00	19:00	76s 40c	28s 50c	20	0.922	2
19:00	20:00	92s 30c	28s 50c	22	1.102	2
20:00	21:00	1g 6s 76c	61s	15	1.028	3
21:00	22:00	92s 33c	24s	28	1.019	1
22:00	23:00	1g 2s 50c	26s 50c	24	1.212	2
23:00	00:00	2g 3s 67c	1g 52s	14	1.721	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/9855 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	1.006	1.113	4
01:00	02:00	0.966	1.116	4
02:00	03:00	0.957	1.123	3
03:00	04:00	1.021	0.832	3
04:00	05:00	1.111	0.841	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.827	2
06:00	07:00	1.028	0.850	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.744	4
08:00	09:00	1.005	0.827	5
09:00	10:00	1.042	0.813	5
10:00	11:00	1.013	0.892	5
11:00	12:00	1.011	0.941	5
12:00	13:00	1.007	0.999	5
13:00	14:00	1.004	1.079	5
14:00	15:00	0.979	1.164	5
15:00	16:00	0.960	1.163	5
16:00	17:00	1.002	1.227	5
17:00	18:00	0.947	1.065	4
18:00	19:00	0.933	1.108	3
19:00	20:00	0.930	1.125	3
20:00	21:00	1.017	1.033	4
21:00	22:00	0.992	0.942	3
22:00	23:00	1.028	1.111	3
23:00	00:00	1.002	1.066	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Archer's Belt?: On PvP Horde EU, Archer's Belt is cheapest from 06:00 to 09:00 UTC (07:00 to 10:00 CET) and dearest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 226% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.