How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Archer's Bracers is cheapest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET) and dearest from 02:00 to 05:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 36% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

22:00 to 01:00 UTC

23:00 to 02:00 CET · index 0.840 · typical 50s 30c

Best hours to sell

02:00 to 05:00 UTC

03:00 to 06:00 CET · index 1.184 · typical 66s 8c

Spread after the 5% cut

+36%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Archer's Bracersby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	57s 56c	53s 33c	15	0.914	3
01:00	02:00	57s 58c	53s 33c	15	0.918	3
02:00	03:00	73s 33c	53s 33c	12	1.249	3
03:00	04:00	56s 67c	35s	9	0.951	3
04:00	05:00	68s 25c	25s	12	1.353	2
05:00	06:00	55s	55s	2	0.806	1
06:00	07:00	56s 75c	41s 50c	9	0.948	2
07:00	08:00	51s 50c	34s	6	0.928	3
08:00	09:00	47s 13c	33s 67c	10	0.815	3
09:00	10:00	52s 7c	31s 33c	10	0.953	3
10:00	11:00	46s 50c	31s	11	0.843	3
11:00	12:00	47s 26c	31s	13	0.880	3
12:00	13:00	48s 61c	30s 33c	16	0.973	3
13:00	14:00	63s 23c	36s 50c	13	1.047	4
14:00	15:00	65s 19c	46s 75c	13	1.052	4
15:00	16:00	51s 58c	29s 67c	17	1.039	3
16:00	17:00	71s 75c	56s 67c	9	1.078	3
17:00	18:00	74s 73c	55s 67c	10	1.148	3
18:00	19:00	66s	33s 50c	18	1.242	2
19:00	20:00	54s 91c	32s	19	1.048	2
20:00	21:00	77s 48c	55s 67c	12	1.245	3
21:00	22:00	49s 11c	20s	24	0.963	1
22:00	23:00	36s	31s 50c	21	0.711	2
23:00	00:00	57s 33c	53s 33c	14	0.896	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/9857 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.999	1.111	4
01:00	02:00	0.964	1.108	4
02:00	03:00	0.960	1.116	3
03:00	04:00	1.030	0.827	3
04:00	05:00	1.112	0.834	4
05:00	06:00	1.019	0.815	2
06:00	07:00	1.035	0.836	3
07:00	08:00	1.019	0.743	4
08:00	09:00	1.002	0.829	5
09:00	10:00	1.040	0.814	5
10:00	11:00	1.015	0.898	5
11:00	12:00	1.013	0.953	5
12:00	13:00	1.001	1.024	5
13:00	14:00	1.002	1.112	5
14:00	15:00	0.973	1.193	5
15:00	16:00	0.957	1.202	5
16:00	17:00	1.014	1.050	4
17:00	18:00	0.948	1.086	4
18:00	19:00	0.934	1.123	3
19:00	20:00	0.928	1.148	3
20:00	21:00	1.007	1.048	4
21:00	22:00	0.999	0.941	3
22:00	23:00	1.025	1.118	3
23:00	00:00	1.005	1.073	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Archer's Bracers?: On PvP Horde EU, Archer's Bracers is cheapest from 22:00 to 01:00 UTC (23:00 to 02:00 CET) and dearest from 02:00 to 05:00 UTC (03:00 to 06:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 36% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.