How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?

Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.

How much history does the pattern need?

Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.

Best hours to buy and sell

Pick a market and an item. Every hour of the day shows its typical price, lowest buyout and listings, and the page names the cheapest hours to buy, the dearest to sell, and what the gap is worth after the 5 percent cut.

On PvP Horde EU, Archer's Gloves is cheapest from 21:00 to 00:00 UTC (22:00 to 01:00 CET) and dearest from 06:00 to 09:00 UTC (07:00 to 10:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 96% after the 5 percent cut.

Current market: PvP Horde EU. This browser opens every tool here until you pick another. Address for this market: ahledger.com/timing?market=forever/pvp/horde/eu

1MarketEach house keeps its own hours.2WindowDays of scans the hours are averaged over.3ItemKept while you switch market or window; type another below.

Item

Best hours to buy

21:00 to 00:00 UTC

22:00 to 01:00 CET · index 0.808 · typical 57s 98c

Best hours to sell

06:00 to 09:00 UTC

07:00 to 10:00 CET · index 1.125 · typical 85s 9c

Spread after the 5% cut

+96%

buy at the cheap hours' lowest buyout, sell at the dear hours' typical price

Confidence

Too early

Too early to trust: the thinnest hour has 1 day of scans behind it over the last 28 days. Read the windows as a hint, not a rule.

Archer's Glovesby hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Typical	Lowest	Listings	Index	Days
00:00	01:00	76s	59s 67c	10	0.957	3
01:00	02:00	70s 13c	63s	8	0.879	3
02:00	03:00	95s	58s 33c	8	1.236	3
03:00	04:00	64s 83c	58s 33c	5	0.812	3
04:00	05:00	89s 50c	45s	8	1.273	2
05:00	06:00	85s	85s	3	0.925	1
06:00	07:00	82s 50c	70s	5	1.082	2
07:00	08:00	95s	55s	7	1.272	3
08:00	09:00	77s 78c	55s	7	1.022	3
09:00	10:00	78s 13c	45s	8	1.031	3
10:00	11:00	75s 56c	45s	9	0.997	3
11:00	12:00	82s 56c	45s	11	1.089	3
12:00	13:00	75s	45s	9	0.981	3
13:00	14:00	73s 33c	51s 33c	11	0.964	3
14:00	15:00	78s 94c	49s 67c	13	1.002	3
15:00	16:00	67s 17c	62s	7	0.964	2
16:00	17:00	78s 34c	57s 50c	9	1.135	2
17:00	18:00	87s 3c	80s 33c	7	1.049	3
18:00	19:00	65s 50c	50s	13	0.934	2
19:00	20:00	66s 50c	42s	15	0.936	2
20:00	21:00	85s	65s	11	1.036	3
21:00	22:00	49s	24s	25	0.780	1
22:00	23:00	52s 84c	40s	16	0.748	2
23:00	00:00	72s 11c	59s 67c	11	0.895	3

Under 1.000 is a cheap hour to buy; over 1.000 a good hour to sell. Days counts how many days that hour was scanned in the window. The same figures as JSON: /v1/timing/forever.pvp.horde.eu/9861 on the API.

The whole market by hour · PvP Horde EU

Hour (UTC)	CET	Price index	Listings index	Days
00:00	01:00	0.997	1.108	4
01:00	02:00	0.961	1.106	4
02:00	03:00	0.955	1.129	3
03:00	04:00	1.028	0.839	3
04:00	05:00	1.126	0.857	4
05:00	06:00	1.021	0.831	2
06:00	07:00	1.036	0.846	3
07:00	08:00	1.032	0.771	4
08:00	09:00	1.002	0.862	5
09:00	10:00	1.037	0.837	5
10:00	11:00	1.013	0.942	5
11:00	12:00	1.014	1.009	5
12:00	13:00	1.005	1.083	5
13:00	14:00	0.996	1.188	5
14:00	15:00	0.974	1.034	4
15:00	16:00	0.950	0.973	4
16:00	17:00	1.013	1.046	4
17:00	18:00	0.948	1.088	4
18:00	19:00	0.924	1.129	3
19:00	20:00	0.918	1.146	3
20:00	21:00	1.013	1.046	4
21:00	22:00	1.003	0.948	3
22:00	23:00	1.024	1.116	3
23:00	00:00	1.008	1.068	4

Each hour is indexed against the 24 hours around it, item by item across the market's largest positions, then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. For the day-of-week pattern, see market structure.

▸How this is worked out

Every hourly price is divided by the same item's average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting over the month does not make one end of the day look dear. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest; the spread buys at the cheap window's lowest buyout and sells at the dear window's typical price less the cut. Forever's history restarts at launch, so a live market's pattern never includes beta scans.

Common questions

What is the best time of day to buy and sell Archer's Gloves?: On PvP Horde EU, Archer's Gloves is cheapest from 21:00 to 00:00 UTC (22:00 to 01:00 CET) and dearest from 06:00 to 09:00 UTC (07:00 to 10:00 CET). Buying in the cheap hours and selling in the dear ones returns about 96% after the 5 percent cut.
How is the hour-of-day pattern worked out?: Every hourly price is divided by the same item’s average over the 24 hours around it, so a price drifting up or down over the month does not make one end of the day look dear, and the 24 hours are then centred so an average hour reads 1.000. The best buy window is the cheapest run of three hours and the best sell window the dearest. Hours are UTC, with the hour on the wall in the zone most of the market’s players keep beside them.
How much history does the pattern need?: Each hour of the day needs a few days of scans behind it before its figure means anything. The confidence line reads the thinnest hour: settled from ten days of scans, provisional from three, too early under that, and no pattern at all while fewer than half the hours have been scanned. Scanning PvP Horde EU through the night fills the gaps.